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  • Forecast Financial Year 2024/2025

FY 2024 / 2025 forecast

The forecast for 2024 / 2025 is based on the current composition of the group. It does not take account of the effects of potential portfolio measures, especially those in connection with possible stand-alone solutions for Steel Europe and Marine Systems. The expected economic conditions and the main assumptions on which our forecast is based can be found in the section headed “Macro and sector environment” in the “Report on the economic position.” For the corresponding opportunities and risks see the “Opportunity and risk report,” which follows this section.

We expect the market environment to remain challenging overall, for example due to uncertainties about future global economic growth. The development of our key performance indicators could therefore be exposed to corresponding fluctuations.

In light of the expected economic conditions as of the date of this forecast and the underlying assumptions, we consider the following view on fiscal year 2024 / 2025 to be appropriate. Compared with the previous forecast in the interim report on the 1st quarter of 2024 / 2025, the expectations for the group have not been amended, despite a lower sales forecast for Steel Europe.

For further information on the expected development of our key performance indicators, please refer to the Forecast, opportunity and risk report in the Annual Report 2023 / 2024 and the interim report on the 1st quarter of 2024 / 2025.

Expectations for the segments and the Group

Automotive TechnologySalesmillion €7,536(4)% to 0% compared with the prior year
Adjusted EBITmillion €245Between €200 million and €300 million
Decarbon TechnologiesSalesmillion €3,850(9)% to (5)% compared with the prior year
Adjusted EBITmillion €(54)Between 0 and €100 million
Materials ServicesSalesmillion €12,126(2)% to +1% compared with the prior year
Adjusted EBITmillion €204Between €150 million and €250 million
Steel EuropeSalesmillion €10,736(6)% to (3)% compared with the prior year (previously: (5)% to (2)% compared with the prior year)
Adjusted EBITmillion €261Between €250 million and €500 million
Marine SystemsSalesmillion €2,118+3% to +6% compared with the prior year
Adjusted EBITmillion €125Between €100 million and €150 million
GroupSalesmillion €35,041(3)% to 0% compared with the prior year
Adjusted EBITmillion €567Between €600 million and €1,000 million
Capital spending including IFRS 16million €1,323Between €1,600 million and €1,800 million
Free cash flow before M&Amillion €110Between 0 and €300 million (incl. around €250 million in cash outflows for restructuring)
Net incomemillion €(1,450)Between €100 million and €500 million
tkVAmillion €(2,476)Between €(800) million and €(400) million
ROCE%(8.0)%Between 4% and 8%

Source: thyssenkrupp interim report 1st half 2024/2025, page 27


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