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SUBSEQUENT EVENTS, OPPORTUNITIES AND OUTLOOKSubsequent eventsThere were no events requiring disclosure. Economy to remain favorableWe anticipate that the world economy will continue to show strong growth this year. At 4.9%, world GDP growth will be slightly higher than expected a few months ago. In the USA, the economy will slow this year due to the weaker property market and low private investment. By contrast, the economic recovery in the euro zone and Germany will be much stronger than expected. Over the course of the year, the increase in VAT will have a lesser impact on the German economy than was previously feared. Growth is being driven above all by corporate capital spending and rising exports; private consumption is also stronger than initially anticipated. The emerging markets continue to report strong growth momentum, above all China and India. Growth rates should also remain high in most Eastern European countries. The main risks to global economic growth are from increasing raw material and oil prices as well as a faster-than-expected slowdown in the USA. We expect the following developments and opportunities for ThyssenKrupp on the major markets:
New carbon and stainless steel site in the USAAs part of their forward strategy for profitable growth, the Steel and Stainless segments are planning to jointly build a new production and distribution site in the southern USA. This will significantly strengthen our position in North America. The NAFTA region is one of the biggest volume markets for high-grade flat carbon steel. North America is also an important market for stainless steel flat products. After several years of weaker growth, the us market is forecast to expand by 3.2% p.a. in the next few years. Growth in Mexico (9.5%) and Canada (5%) is expected to be considerably higher. 2nd Quarter 2006 – 2007 Thyssenkrupp Interim management report Subsequent events, opportunities and outlook 23 The centerpiece of the new site will be a hot strip mill which will be used to process slabs from the steel mill we are currently building in Brazil. The plant will also include cold rolling and hot-dip coating capacities for high-grade end products of flat carbon steel. In addition, Stainless intends to build a melt shop on the same site for stainless slabs which will also be rolled on the new hot strip mill. A cold rolling mill will also be built to allow further processing into stainless cold-rolled. Part of the hot-rolled will also be supplied to our existing stainless cold rolling mill in Mexico. Earnings target raisedWe expect the Group's positive performance to continue in the further course of fiscal 2006/2007. Based on the very good results in the first two quarters and improved growth prospects we now expect to increase sales to around €50 billion and generate earnings before taxes and major nonrecurring effects of around €3.5 billion. As a result of the significantly increased earnings strength of the Group as well as anticipated earnings effects from the investment program, the Executive Board has raised its mid-term target up to 2010. The aim is to achieve sustainable earnings before taxes and major nonrecurring effects of €4 billion on sales of around €60 billion. In the longer term, particularly after the completion of our major investment projects in North America, we expect sales in the region of €65 billion and earnings before taxes and major nonrecurring effects of €4.5 to 5.0 billion. |
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